Options Trading & Analysis

Intra-Day Significant Options Activity


ETF/Indices Mentioned: XAL

Stocks Mentioned: AMD, CMCSA, CSC, JNJ, KR, LBTYA, NXY, SAP, TXI

ETF/Indices
With the AMEX Airline Index (XAL, 54.48, +3.65%) trading up approximately 3% following positive news in component CAL this morning, opening investors entered the market to buy 4,000 June 55 (.50d) puts paying $3.30.  The investors are positioning for increased levels of volatility and are likely speculating on downside in the sector between now and June expiration (6/16/07).

Building Materials
With unconfirmed takeover rumors circulating in Texas Industries Inc. (TXI, 76.10, +2.74%) opening investors aggressively bought April 80 calls over 1,800 times.  Prior to today’s trading, TXI had a 21-day average daily call volume of fewer than 200 calls a session.

Business Services
With Computer Sciences Corp. (CSC, 53.58, +3.60%) trending up approximately 2% this morning, opening investors entered the market to buy 3,000 June 57.5 (.20d) calls paying $0.50, equating to over three times the average daily call volume. These investors are likely positioning for upside above the $58 level ($57.5 strike + $0.50 premium) between now and June expiration. CSC is estimated to report Q4 earnings on 5/23/07, which falls within the June expiration cycle.


Who Can Predict Trends With Nearly 80% Accuracy?

VantagePoint’s leading indicators point to emerging trends in over 200 equity, futures and Forex markets, with nearly 80% accuracy. Trade the trends intelligently. Check out complimentary forecasts on any market. There’s zero obligation, and you get key tips on Trend Forecasting with Technical Analysis

CLICK HERE FOR YOUR COMPLIMENTARY FORECASTS


Cable
We continue to see unusual volume in Comcast Corp (CMCSA, 26.29, +2.18%) options with predominantly buyers of volatility in both May and July. Today, opening investors bought 10,000 May 27.5 (.35d) calls paying up to $0.52. Late last week we saw buyers of 20,000 July 25 puts tied to stock. Overall it appears there is a clear sentiment that CMCSA could make a notable move in the coming months.

Enterprise Software
In SAP (SAP, 45.55, +1.0%) recent option flow, particularly today, suggests we could see a downside move in the coming week / months. Today, investors bought 5,000 April 45 puts for $1.00 and 2,500 May 45 puts for $1.70. In previous sessions, we have seen June 47.5 / 45 put spread buyers, September 50 put buyers and additional April 45 put buyers. Earnings are expected April 20th which is the last day to trade April options.

Media/Telecom
Options in Liberty Global Inc. (LBTYA, 34.18, +2.52%) trade fairly infrequently; however, this morning opening investors bought nearly 1,200 May 35 (.45d) calls.  While buying at-the-money volatility, these investors may be speculating on an upside move, possibly in reaction to Q1 earnings estimated for 5/10/07. In comparison, LBTYA usually trades on average fewer than 300 contracts a session.

Medical Products
In Johnson and Johnson (JNJ, 60.75, +1.08%) we are seeing buyers of calls today in both the April and July cycles. For instance, seemingly bullish investors bought 12,000 April 60 (.70d) calls, which is equivalent to buying approximately 840,000 shares of stock. Separately we also noted buyers of July 65 calls/sellers of July 55 puts in risk reversals 5,000 times trading against stock on a delta neutral basis. Q1 earnings are coming up on 4/17/07.

Oil
In Nexen Inc (NXY, 60.73, -1.30%) options this week, we have seen April buyers and May sellers which is notable given the company earnings release date currently falls in the May cycle (4/26/07). Yesterday investors bought at least 600 April 95 calls for $0.85 and this morning investors bought 1,200 April 60 / May 65 call spreads for $.90. April volatility is trading approximately 2pts over May volatility (37% vs. 35%)

Retail - Food
In Kroger Co. (KR, 29.13, +2.03%) participants were noted selling upside volatility through roughly 6,000 May 30 (.34d) calls. We also observed increased volume last week as investors separately bought 2,000 October 30 calls and sold 2,000 of these same May 30 calls. Overall, this morning’s May call sellers profit in the event of decreased levels of volatility along with limited upside. KR typically trades on average fewer than 800 calls a session and is estimated to release Q1 earnings on 6/18/07.

Semi
In Advanced Micro Devices (AMD, 12.95, +0.9%) we are seeing volatility buying in April that may be perceived as bearish. Yesterday afternoon with the stock approximately $12.85, investors bought 50,000 April 12.5 puts outright for $0.40. The April 12.5 puts were bought again earlier today, 12,000 times, however they are trading against stock on a delta neutral basis.
"

About Susquehanna Financial Group


Susquehanna Financial Group is an affiliate of Susquehanna International Group (SIG). SIG has evolved over the past twenty years into a leading financial institution focusing on trading, investment banking, private equity, venture capital, institutional sales and research. SIG makes markets in more than 6,000 stocks, is among the nation's largest option market makers, is the leading sector index options trading firm and is one of the largest liquidity providers in ETFs. SIG has more than 12 offices across North America, Europe and Asia.

View Susquehanna Financial Group's post archive >

Advertisement Continue reading


The Options News Rundown New!Audio

Your source for the most important news and information from the world of options.

The Options Insider Radio NetworkAudio

All of our radio programs in one convenient place.

Options Insider RadioAudio

The original options podcast. Features interviews with leading options figures.

The Option BlockAudio

This high-octane program features education, analysis, strategies and unusual activity.

Volatility ViewsAudio

The premier radio program for volatility traders.

The Long And Short Of Futures OptionsAudio

Your source for futures options information.

The Advisor's OptionAudio

Arming advisors with the info necessary to manage risk.

Options Boot CampAudio

Get into peak options trading shape.

Options Insider Special EventsAudio

Compelling panel & special event recordings from the options world.

x

The Options Insider Radio Network

The Options News Rundown New!

Your source for the most important news and information from the world of options.

The Options News Rundown <small>New!</small>

The Options Insider Radio Network

All of our radio programs in one convenient place.

The Options Insider Radio Network

Options Insider Radio

The original options podcast. Features interviews with leading options figures.

Options Insider Radio

The Option Block

This high-octane program features education, analysis, strategies and unusual activity.

The Option Block

Volatility Views

The premier radio program for volatility traders.

Volatility Views

The Long And Short Of Futures Options

Your source for futures options information.

The Long And Short Of Futures Options

The Advisor's Option

Arming advisors with the info necessary to manage risk.

The Advisor's Option

Options Boot Camp

Get into peak options trading shape.

Options Boot Camp

Options Insider Special Events

Compelling panel & special event recordings from the options world.

Options Insider Special Events

The Long & Short of Futures Options 10: Forex Options

Join Mark as he discusses Forex futures and options with CME Group's Craig Leveille, Executive Director, FX Products, and Jeff Lewandowski, CTA, Foremost Trading.

The Long & Short of Futures Options 10: Forex Options