Options Intelligence Report: CBOE Vix Index (VIX) & First Solar, Inc. (FSLR)
VIX ñ CBOE Vix Index
Bulls And Bears Fight Over Volatility Direction
With the equity market down and the dollar on the rise, investors across different asset classes today appear to be blaming one another for prevailing direction. No one seems to know why anything is moving in the fashion it is. The suggestion of course is that risk appetite is on the demise and fear is picking up. Compounding such indecision in the volatility class are trades suggesting ongoing disparate views on the fortunes for equities going forward. The so-called fear gauge is 5% higher at 24.90 today while trading has been two way.
In the November options one investor loaded up on 25,000 call options at a 25 cent premium suggesting that the index will be above 25 when options expire next Tuesday. The December contract equally hinted at more volatility ahead as one traded bought the 27.5/35 call spread 25,000 times at a net 93 cents. In order for this trade to break even next month the Vix index would need to settle above 28.43. Arguing the bullish case another investor bought 15,000 put options at the December 20 strike, which suggests that volatility will subside into year end rally for equities.
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FSLR ñ First Solar, Inc.
Bullish options activity appeared in the November contract despite the 2.5% decline in shares of the semiconductor company today to $116.98. A bull call spread on FSLR suggests one investor doubts shares will continue much lower. The trader purchased approximately 2,300 calls at the in-the-money November 115 strike for 4.75 each, spread against the sale of roughly the same number of calls at the higher November 120 strike for 2.44 apiece. The net cost of the transaction amounts to 2.31 per contract.
Shares must recover through $117.31 in order for the contrarian trader to breakeven by expiration next Friday. Maximum potential profits of 2.69 per share are available to the call spreader if the stock rebounds up to $120.00. We note that FSLR traded as high as $120.14 during yesterdayís trading session.
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Note: The material presented in this commentary is provided forinformational purposes only and is based upon information that isconsidered to be reliable. However, neither Interactive Brokers LLC norits affiliates warrant its completeness, accuracy or adequacy and itshould not be relied upon as such. Neither IB nor its affiliates areresponsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained fromthe use of this information. Past performance is not necessarilyindicative of future results.
This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for thepurchase or sale of any security or other financial instrument.Securities or other financial instruments mentioned in this materialare not suitable for all investors. Any opinions expressed herein aregiven in good faith, are subject to change without notice, and are onlycorrect as of the stated date of their issue. The information containedherein does not constitute advice on the tax consequences of making anyparticular investment decision. This material does not take intoaccount your particular investment objectives, financial situations orneeds and is not intended as a recommendation to you of any particularsecurities, financial instruments or strategies. Before investing, youshould consider whether it is suitable for your particularcircumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice.
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