Options Unusual Activity

Options Intelligence Report: Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan, Inc. (POT), Lennar Corp. (LEN) & Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB)



POT ñ Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan, Inc.
Shares of the fertilizer and feed products firm are down 3.10% to $108.74 this morning after analysts at Goldman Sachs Group slashed their rating on POT to ëneutralí, removing the stock from their Conviction Buy List, and lowered their 12-month target share price on Potash to $123.69 from $131.00.

One long-term bearish options player reacted to the ratings downgrade on the potash producer by purchasing put options in the September contract. The investor picked up 4,700 puts at the September $100 strike for an average premium of $6.60 apiece. POTís share price must plummet 14.1% from the current price of $108.74 in order for the pessimistic player to make money beneath the effective breakeven share price of $93.40. Potash Corp.ís shares last traded below $93.40 back on November 3, 2009, when the stock reached an intraday low of $90.46.


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LEN ñ Lennar Corp.

Call options on the homebuilding company are in high demand this morning with shares of Lennar Corp. trading higher by 4.75% to $18.10 as of 10:45 am (ET). Near-term bullish investors coveted 4,200 now in-the-money call contracts at the April $18 strike for an average premium of $0.20 apiece. Optimistic individuals long the calls stand prepared to profit if Lennarís shares rally through the average breakeven share price of $18.20 ahead of expiration day on Friday.

Bullish sentiment spread to the higher May $19 strike where 2,900 call options were picked up for an average premium of $0.45 per contract. Lennarís shares must increase at least 7.45% over the current value of $18.10 in order for investors to make money above the average breakeven share price of $19.45.

Finally, uber-bullish individuals purchased 1,300 calls at the May $20 strike for an average premium of $0.25 each. Investors long the May $20 strike calls profit if the homebuilding firmís shares rally 11.9% to exceed the breakeven point on the calls at $20.25 by May expiration day.  The surge in demand for call options on Lennar Corp. boosted the stockís overall reading of options implied volatility 9.8% to 45.89% in the early hours of the trading session.

 

RRGB ñ Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc.
An upgrade to ëbuyí from ësellí with a 12-month target share price of $33.00 at Sterne, Agee & Lynch this week perhaps helped boost the price per share of the casual dining restaurant chain 4.6% this morning to an intraday high of $28.48. Bullish investors skipped the all-you-can-eat steak fries this morning and went straight for call options in the June contract.

Optimistic options players seized some 7,000 calls at the June $30 strike for a premium of $1.10 apiece. It looks like one trader may be banking profits by selling 2,000 in-the-money calls at the June $25 strike for an average premium of $3.55 each in order to purchase the higher June $30 strike call options.

Rolling up to a higher strike price in this case positions the investor to profit should RRGB experience continued bullish movement in the price of its underlying shares through June expiration. Options implied volatility on the gourmet burger maker is up 5.4% to 40.22% as of 11:10 am (ET).

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Note: The material presented in this commentary is provided forinformational purposes only and is based upon information that isconsidered to be reliable. However, neither Interactive Brokers LLC norits affiliates warrant its completeness, accuracy or adequacy and itshould not be relied upon as such. Neither IB nor its affiliates areresponsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained fromthe use of this information. Past performance is not necessarilyindicative of future results.

This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for thepurchase or sale of any security or other financial instrument.Securities or other financial instruments mentioned in this materialare not suitable for all investors. Any opinions expressed herein aregiven in good faith, are subject to change without notice, and are onlycorrect as of the stated date of their issue. The information containedherein does not constitute advice on the tax consequences of making anyparticular investment decision. This material does not take intoaccount your particular investment objectives, financial situations orneeds and is not intended as a recommendation to you of any particularsecurities, financial instruments or strategies. Before investing, youshould consider whether it is suitable for your particularcircumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice.
 

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About Andrew Wilkinson


Andrew Wilkinson is the senior market analyst at Interactive Brokers Group, where he provides daily commentary and analysis on U.S. equity options trading throughout the trading day. Andrew provides webinars designed to explain option-related trading scenarios covering futures, fixed income, forex and equities.

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