Options Industry

Volatility Views 283: Trump, Russia and VIX Explosions


Is the VIX really just misunderstood?

Download Volatility Views 283: Trump, Russia and VIX Explosions

Volatility Review: A look at the week from a volatility perspective.

The numbers:

  • VIX Cash - back above 12, briefly
  • VVIX - 90
  • CBOE Skew Index - 131
  • VIX Options: ADV - 725K, VIX call/put: 3.7, Total 11.2m (8.68m Calls, 2.56m Puts)
  • VXX - 32
  • XIV - 109.58

Volatility Voicemail: Options question of the week

SPY always dominates the Options volume charts. But what do you think people are actually trading in SPY? Take a guess at the Top OI position in SPY right now. No cheating (or checking with your broker) - use your grey matter & your "gut" to pick the right one.

  • Jan 262 Call
  • Dec 2019 150 Put
  • Dec 280 Call
  • Jan 240 Put

Listener questions and comments

  • Question from FContangotrader - I think we have a winner today in TA of $VIX world.
  • Question from CConden - Looks like the winning trade for past few years has been rolling short VIX front month future with a protective call kicker should the worst come to pass. I'm stuck on the call kicker strike. What is the ideal strike/month combo for max gain with protection against apocalypse? Don't want to pay too much for call but also don't want to get run over by the VIX train.
  • Question from Mantauk - What is the actual implied volatility of bitcoin?
  • Question from VonBaron - Seems like Whaley doesn't think people get his creation like they should.

Whaley: I don't think people understand it as well as they should. The VIX doesn't trade. It's just a number produced from these 250 S&P 500 option prices. But what does trade are the VIX futures and the VIX options, which are related to VIX but in a strange way. Where VIX is the volatility over the next 30 days, VIX futures is the expectation of the volatility 30 days from now. Those two series don't behave like one another, in fact quite differently. VXX is incredibly actively traded. Would I have thought it would be this actively traded? No, but it is. I think the VIX futures index is particularly staggering. It probably trades more shares in a day than Microsoft. If you look at the turnover ratio, you'll find that it's a huge number. If people were just buying and holding, that number would be much lower.

Crystal Ball: Your prognostication headquarters

Last week:

  • Mark L. - 9.75
  • Mark S. - 9.99
  • Russell - 10.59

This week:

  • Mark L. - 10.25
  • Mark S. - 11.25

About Mark S. Longo


Mark S. Longo is the founder of The Options Insider Inc. - a firm dedicated to providing free options information, education, news and analysis for options users. Whether it's on TheOptionsInsider.com, a leading online options destination; through Options Insider Radio, the world's only radio network for options users; or through a growing number of newsletters and live events, Mr. Longo continues to provide new ways to spread the word about options.Mr. Longo's analysis of the options market has appeared in a wide variety of domestic and international publications, including The Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, Reuters, Futures Magazine, and more. As one of the few industry commentators with practical options experience, he has developed a substantial following among industry veterans and newcomers looking for insight into this complex market. Mr. Longo began his career as an options trader on the floor of the Chicago Board Options Exchange.

Author's web site: http://www.theoptionsinsider.com


View Mark S. Longo's post archive >

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The Options Insider Radio Network

The Options News Rundown

Your source for the most important news and information from the world of options.

The Options News Rundown

The Options Insider Radio Network

All of our radio programs in one convenient place.

The Options Insider Radio Network

Options Insider Radio

The original options podcast. Features interviews with leading options figures.

Options Insider Radio

The Option Block

This high-octane program features education, analysis, strategies and unusual activity.

The Option Block

Volatility Views

The premier radio program for volatility traders.

Volatility Views

The Long And Short Of Futures Options

Your source for futures options information.

The Long And Short Of Futures Options

The Advisor's Option

Arming advisors with the info necessary to manage risk.

The Advisor's Option

Options Boot Camp

Get into peak options trading shape.

Options Boot Camp

Options Insider Special Events

Compelling panel & special event recordings from the options world.

Options Insider Special Events

OIC's Wide World of Options

A dynamic mix of current events, investor resources, & strategy insights.

OIC's Wide World of Options

Trading Tech Talk

We break down all the amazing technology that takes your trades from the click of a mouse to the clearinghouse.

Trading Tech Talk

Options Playbook Radio

Break down cutting-edge options strategies and learn how to incorporate them into your portfolio

Options Playbook Radio

Options Oddities

We track all the unusual options trading activity on Options Oddities.

Options Oddities

This Week in Futures Options

The program designed to help active futures options traders stay on top of this ever-changing marketplace. 

This Week in Futures Options

The Business Show

If you like business, if you like humor, if you like stock symbols, this is the podcast for you.

The Business Show